Final · NHL · Friday, October 30, 2026

The Lab Never Lies.

Every game gets one block: the final and how the Lab’s play landed. Paper — a shadow lane.

The results

2 Lab plays across 3 games · the board went 1–1, +0.15u

SHADOW LANE. Every NHL play is tracked on paper — no stakes until a lane clears the CLV gate. Slates before Nov 3 are a shakedown, tracked separately.

NJD5Final

VGK2

NJDConnor HellebuyckGconfirmed

VGKAdin HillGunconfirmed

Pinnacle no-vigwin % · totalNJD48.8%VGK51.2%Total6

Injury reportVGK Carter Hart day-to-day

The Lab’s play

Player points · NJD

Nico Hischier

Under 0.5 Points

ResultWIN+1.15uPrice+115MGMGradeLEAN

The sharp book has Nico Hischier Under 0.5 pts at 47.9% once the juice is stripped out. The best US number, +115 at MGM, prices it like 46.5%. We take the better number.

Fair: 47.9%
+115 needs: 46.5%
EV vs Pinnacle: +2.9%
CLV: —
Locked: 3:45 pm
Lead: 2h 14m

The full read →

More looks14Not Lab plays — not graded on the shadow record

Game lines · best US price vs Pinnacle no-vig

Under 6Game total · push on 6EV -0.5% · fair 50.2%−102MGM
VGK to winMoneylineEV -2.3% · fair 51.2%−110MGM
VGK -1.5Puck lineEV -2.8% · fair 29.9%+225FD
NJD +1.5Puck lineEV -2.9% · fair 70.1%−260BOL
NJD to winMoneylineEV -3.7% · fair 48.8%−103BOV
Over 6Game total · push on 6EV -5.8% · fair 49.8%−112BOL

Player points · top 8 by EV · card pull 3:45 pm ET

Dougie HamiltonNJDUnder 0.5 Points · EV +1.8% · fair 69.5%−215DK
Luke HughesNJDOver 0.5 Points · EV +1.0% · fair 48.1%+110MGM
Ivan BarbashevVGKUnder 0.5 Points · EV +0.9% · fair 54.0%−115MGM
Evan RodriguesNJDUnder 0.5 Points · EV +0.6% · fair 67.1%−200MGM
Trevor ConnellyVGKUnder 0.5 Points · EV +0.1% · fair 57.5%−135MGM
Jack HughesNJDOver 0.5 Points · EV -1.2% · fair 64.7%−190MGM
Timo MeierNJDUnder 0.5 Points · EV -2.3% · fair 58.6%−150MGM
Mitch MarnerVGKUnder 0.5 Points · EV -2.4% · fair 37.6%+160MGM

WPG2Final

FLA5

WPGNico DawsGunconfirmed

FLAAkira SchmidGconfirmed

Pinnacle no-vigwin % · totalWPG32.6%FLA67.4%Total6

The Lab’s play

Player points · FLA

Sam Reinhart

Under 0.5 Points

ResultLOSS−1.00uPrice+180MGMGradeLEAN

MGM hangs +180 on Sam Reinhart Under 0.5 pts. Pinnacle’s no-vig line makes it 36.7%; +180 only needs 35.7%. That 1.0pp gap is the edge.

Fair: 36.7%
+180 needs: 35.7%
EV vs Pinnacle: +2.7%
CLV: —
Locked: 3:45 pm
Lead: 3h 14m

The full read →

More looks14Not Lab plays — not graded on the shadow record

Game lines · best US price vs Pinnacle no-vig

FLA to winMoneylineEV -1.2% · fair 67.4%−215BETUS
Over 6Game total · push on 6EV -1.3% · fair 52.8%−115BOL
WPG to winMoneylineEV -2.3% · fair 32.6%+200BR
FLA -1.5Puck lineEV -2.4% · fair 45.6%+114DK
WPG +1.5Puck lineEV -3.8% · fair 54.4%−130MGM
Under 6Game total · push on 6EV -5.6% · fair 47.2%+100MGM

Player points · top 8 by EV · card pull 3:45 pm ET

Carter VerhaegheFLAUnder 0.5 Points · EV -0.6% · fair 40.6%+145MGM
Sam BennettFLAUnder 0.5 Points · EV -3.2% · fair 46.5%+108BOL
Gabriel VilardiWPGUnder 0.5 Points · EV -3.6% · fair 50.5%−110MGM
Aaron EkbladFLAUnder 0.5 Points · EV -3.8% · fair 61.2%−175MGM
Cole PerfettiWPGUnder 0.5 Points · EV -3.8% · fair 52.5%−120MGM
Neal PionkWPGUnder 0.5 Points · EV -3.9% · fair 61.2%−175BOL
Brady TkachukFLAOver 0.5 Points · EV -4.0% · fair 66.0%−220MGM
Mark ScheifeleWPGOver 0.5 Points · EV -4.2% · fair 58.3%−156BOL

SEAFinal

CGY

SEAJoey DaccordGunconfirmed

CGYDustin WolfGconfirmed

Pinnacle no-vigwin % · totalSEA50.9%CGY49.1%Total6.5

Injury reportCGY Brennan Othmann outCGY Connor Zary out

No Lab play locked in this game — 6 priced rows at the lock.

More looks6Not Lab plays — not graded on the shadow record

Game lines · best US price vs Pinnacle no-vig

CGY +1.5Puck lineEV -2.3% · fair 69.8%−250MGM
Over 6.5Game totalEV -2.5% · fair 48.7%+100BR
CGY to winMoneylineEV -2.8% · fair 49.1%−102BOL
Under 6.5Game totalEV -3.4% · fair 51.3%−113BOL
SEA to winMoneylineEV -3.6% · fair 50.9%−112BOL
SEA -1.5Puck lineEV -4.6% · fair 30.2%+216BETUS

Shadow recordPaper · starts with the Nov 3 slate

Record—

Shakedown · tracked separatelyPaper, not part of the shadow record · Oct 23 – Oct 30

Record25–19

Units+11.0u

CLV+2.7%

Full history → Performance

Follow the Lab @CTBetz_

The NHL shadow board, the prices and the grades — every play on paper until a lane clears the CLV gate. No noise, just the work.

@CTBetz_

All plays

Every Lab play on today’s card, once, in puck-drop order. Open one for the full read.

Plays2

SHADOW LANE. Every NHL play is tracked on paper — no stakes until a lane clears the CLV gate. Slates before Nov 3 are a shakedown, tracked separately.

The Props

Player points props: the best US price against Pinnacle’s no-vig line, highest EV first. Each play carries the price, the book and the read.

Prop plays2

SHADOW LANE. Every NHL play is tracked on paper — no stakes until a lane clears the CLV gate. Slates before Nov 3 are a shakedown, tracked separately.

Game Lines

Moneyline, puck line and totals: the best US price against Pinnacle’s no-vig line, highest EV first.

Game-line plays0

SHADOW LANE. Every NHL play is tracked on paper — no stakes until a lane clears the CLV gate. Slates before Nov 3 are a shakedown, tracked separately.

No Lab plays locked on this board yet.

Injury Report

Both teams of every game on the slate, from the league injury report at the last build. Today’s news first, then out, day-to-day and injured reserve. A points prop never locks on a listed player.

Out / day-to-day3

Posted	Team	Player	Pos	Status	Note	Game
Oct 30, 12:44 pm	CGY	Connor Zary	C	Out	out	SEA @ CGY
Oct 30, 12:38 pm	CGY	Brennan Othmann	LW	Out	out	SEA @ CGY
Oct 30, 12:32 pm	CGY	Devin Cooley	G	Injured Reserve	ir	SEA @ CGY
Oct 28, 10:13 am	VGK	Carter Hart	G	Day-To-Day	day-to-day	NJD @ VGK
Oct 29, 12:22 pm	FLA	Brad Marchand	LW	Injured Reserve	Marchand (leg) has started skating and is tentatively three weeks away from returning, per George Richards.	WPG @ FLA
Oct 29, 12:13 pm	FLA	Aleksander Barkov	C	Injured Reserve	Barkov (lower body) resumed skating Wednesday, George Richards of Florida Hockey Now reports.	WPG @ FLA
Oct 25, 1:08 pm	SEA	Jared McCann	LW	Injured Reserve	McCann (lower body) will be out for approximately 10 weeks, the team announced Sunday.	SEA @ CGY
Oct 24, 2:14 pm	CGY	Jonathan Huberdeau	LW	Injured Reserve	Huberdeau (hip) skated with his teammates Saturday, but he isn't close to returning, Pat Steinberg of QR Calgary 770 AM reports.	SEA @ CGY
Oct 23, 2:11 pm	WPG	Vladislav Namestnikov	C	Injured Reserve	ir	WPG @ FLA
Oct 23, 12:48 pm	WPG	Nick Bjugstad	C	Injured Reserve	Bjugstad (pectoral), Dawson Mercer, Nico Daws, Alexander Command and a pair of draft picks were traded to the Jets from the Devils on Friday in exchange for Connor Hellebuyck.	WPG @ FLA
Oct 21, 3:24 pm	VGK	Parker Wotherspoon	D	Injured Reserve	ir	NJD @ VGK
Oct 20, 5:23 pm	FLA	Jacob Markstrom	G	Injured Reserve	ir	WPG @ FLA
Oct 19, 11:51 pm	CGY	Samuel Honzek	LW	Injured Reserve	ir	SEA @ CGY
Oct 19, 11:39 am	WPG	Josh Morrissey	D	Injured Reserve	Morrissey (wrist) was placed on injured reserve Monday.	WPG @ FLA
Oct 10, 3:49 pm	SEA	Jacob Melanson	RW	Injured Reserve	Melanson's upper-body injury was diagnosed Saturday as an anterior mediastinum hematoma with vascular pseudo aneurysm. He will continue to be evaluated and is out indefinitely.	SEA @ CGY
Oct 8, 12:38 pm	SEA	Ryan Lindgren	D	Injured Reserve	Lindgren (upper body) was placed on injured reserve by the Kraken on Thursday and is expected to miss four to six weeks.	SEA @ CGY
Oct 2, 1:31 pm	NJD	Seamus Casey	D	Injured Reserve	Casey will be out of action for 6-8 weeks after undergoing a knee procedure, Kristy Flannery of The Hockey News reports Friday.	NJD @ VGK
Sep 30, 8:06 pm	SEA	Jake O'Brien	C	Injured Reserve	O'Brien (lower body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve Wednesday.	SEA @ CGY
Sep 29, 11:55 am	WPG	Garrett Brown	C	Injured Reserve	ir-nr	WPG @ FLA
Sep 17, 4:53 pm	FLA	Jonah Gadjovich	LW	Injured Reserve	Gadjovich (upper body) is out indefinitely, the team announced Thursday.	WPG @ FLA

Starting Goalies

Every game in order of puck drop: who’s in net and how sure the report is. The Lab’s plays lock 2–3 hours before puck drop, so a late goalie change can still move a line after the lock.

ConfirmedLikelyUnconfirmed

3 GAMES

NJD @ VGK6:00 pm ET

Unconfirmed

Away goalie · NJDConnor Hellebuyck

StatusConfirmed

Home goalie · VGKAdin Hill

StatusUnconfirmed

Pinnacle no-vigNJD48.8%VGK51.2%Total6

WPG @ FLA7:00 pm ET

Unconfirmed

Away goalie · WPGNico Daws

StatusUnconfirmed

Home goalie · FLAAkira Schmid

StatusConfirmed

Pinnacle no-vigWPG32.6%FLA67.4%Total6

SEA @ CGY8:00 pm ET

Unconfirmed

Away goalie · SEAJoey Daccord

StatusUnconfirmed

Home goalie · CGYDustin Wolf

StatusConfirmed

Pinnacle no-vigSEA50.9%CGY49.1%Total6.5

The Track Record

Units over time, every Lab play graded on paper (flat 1u, no stakes). The shadow record counts from the Nov 3 slate; the shakedown before it is its own record, never blended. 0 shadow-record plays graded · 44 shakedown.

SHADOW LANE. Every NHL play is tracked on paper — no stakes until a lane clears the CLV gate. Slates before Nov 3 are a shakedown, tracked separately. CLV gate: 0/100 shadow-record plays with a close. A lane goes live only with ≥ 100, mean CLV > 0, both halves > 0, a bootstrap 95% CI above 0 and the top-10-trimmed mean > 0.

Record

25–19

56.8% win rate

Units

+11.0u

net, flat 1u stakes

ROI

+24.9%

return on risk

Best market

+11.5u

Player points

Active filter

Shakedown · Oct 23 - Oct 30 · tracked separately

picks graded

Record

0–0

0.0% win rate

Units

+0.0u

net, flat 1u stakes

ROI

+0.0%

return on risk

Best market

—

no graded markets in range

Active filter

Previous day

picks graded

Record

0–0

0.0% win rate

Units

+0.0u

net, flat 1u stakes

ROI

+0.0%

return on risk

Best market

—

no graded markets in range

Active filter

Last 7 days

picks graded

Record

0–0

0.0% win rate

Units

+0.0u

net, flat 1u stakes

ROI

+0.0%

return on risk

Best market

—

no graded markets in range

Active filter

Last 30 days

picks graded

Record

0–0

0.0% win rate

Units

+0.0u

net, flat 1u stakes

ROI

+0.0%

return on risk

Best market

—

no graded markets in range

Active filter

Shadow record · since Nov 3

picks graded

Equity curve

+11.0u

Net units across 8 graded slates (2026-10-23 → 2026-10-30) · flat 1u stakes

Equity curve

+0.0u

Net units across the graded slate · flat 1u stakes

The curve fills in once two graded slates land in this range.

Equity curve

+0.0u

Net units across the graded slate · flat 1u stakes

The curve fills in once two graded slates land in this range.

Equity curve

+0.0u

Net units across the graded slate · flat 1u stakes

The curve fills in once two graded slates land in this range.

Equity curve

+0.0u

Net units across the graded slate · flat 1u stakes

The curve fills in once two graded slates land in this range.

Daily P&L

Net units by day — tap a date for the slate.

SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Friday, Oct 23

0–2-2.0u-100.0% ROI

Saturday, Oct 24

7–3+6.2u+61.8% ROI

Sunday, Oct 25

1–0+0.5u+47.6% ROI

Monday, Oct 26

3–0+3.5u+115.3% ROI

Tuesday, Oct 27

6–5+2.8u+25.7% ROI

Wednesday, Oct 28

2–2-0.3u-7.3% ROI

Thursday, Oct 29

5–6+0.2u+1.5% ROI

Friday, Oct 30

1–1+0.1u+7.5% ROI

WINNico HischierPlayer points Under 0.5+1.1u

LOSSSam ReinhartPlayer points Under 0.5−1.0u

By market

Net units by market, graded in range. Where the Lab makes its money.

Player points

W-L 23–16

+11.5u

Moneyline

W-L 1–1

+0.6u

Game total

W-L 1–2

−1.1u

By market

Net units by market, graded in range.

No graded markets in this range yet.

By market

Net units by market, graded in range.

No graded markets in this range yet.

By market

Net units by market, graded in range.

No graded markets in this range yet.

By market

Net units by market, graded in range.

No graded markets in this range yet.

By odds band

Every graded paper play (shakedown + shadow record) by the price taken. Hit % vs the break-even of those prices — above it is the edge, below it the vig.

Band	Plays	W–L	Hit %	Break-even %	Units	ROI	CLV
−150 or shorter	3	3–0	100.0%	67.0%	+1.49u	49.7%	+1.1%
−149 to −101	7	4–3	57.1%	52.9%	+0.45u	6.4%	+3.7%
+100 to +129	15	9–6	60.0%	47.0%	+3.90u	26.0%	+2.0%
+130 to +159	8	4–4	50.0%	41.3%	+1.78u	22.2%	+2.8%
+160 to +199	8	3–5	37.5%	37.2%	−0.10u	−1.2%	+4.4%
+200 or longer	3	2–1	66.7%	31.8%	+3.45u	115.0%	+2.4%

By tier

PLAY = EV ≥ 3% vs Pinnacle no-vig at the lock · LEAN 0–3% · TEST below 0. Every graded paper play.

Tier	Plays	W–L	Hit %	Break-even %	Units	ROI	CLV
PLAY	17	9–8	52.9%	40.9%	+4.35u	25.6%	+4.1%
LEAN	26	16–10	61.5%	48.3%	+7.61u	29.3%	+1.5%
TEST	1	0–1	0.0%	47.6%	−1.00u	−100.0%	−0.7%

Graded plays

Every graded paper play in the range, win or lose. Filter by Type / Market / Lab / Result; click any column to re-sort.

Date	Result	Type	Lab	Market	Player / Match	Line	Price	Book	Conf	EV	Units
Oct 24	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Jacob Trouba	0.5	+230	DK	—	+5.0	+2.3u
Oct 29	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Sean Monahan	0.5	+215	DK	—	+2.2	+2.1u
Oct 24	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Artemi Panarin	0.5	+165	MGM	—	+7.8	+1.6u
Oct 27	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Cole Caufield	0.5	+165	MGM	—	+5.8	+1.6u
Oct 26	WIN	Shakedown	Game lines	Moneyline	DET @ EDM	—	+160	BR	—	+0.7	+1.6u
Oct 27	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Rasmus Dahlin	0.5	+155	MGM	—	+1.8	+1.6u
Oct 26	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Adrian Kempe	0.5	+145	MGM	—	+1.4	+1.4u
Oct 24	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Logan Cooley	0.5	+140	MGM	—	+7.3	+1.4u
Oct 27	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Wyatt Johnston	0.5	+138	MGM	—	+2.5	+1.4u
Oct 24	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Tommy Novak	0.5	+120	MGM	—	+2.4	+1.2u
Oct 27	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Cole Perfetti	0.5	+115	MGM	—	+3.4	+1.1u
Oct 29	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Brock Boeser	0.5	+115	MGM	—	+3.0	+1.1u
Oct 30	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Nico Hischier	0.5	+115	MGM	—	+2.9	+1.1u
Oct 27	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Valeri Nichushkin	0.5	+110	DK	—	+5.0	+1.1u
Oct 28	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Tom Wilson	0.5	+110	MGM	—	+1.0	+1.1u
Oct 24	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Logan Stankoven	0.5	+105	MGM	—	+1.5	+1.1u
Oct 27	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Quinton Byfield	0.5	+100	MGM	—	+1.2	+1.0u
Oct 29	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Jordan Kyrou	0.5	+100	MGM	—	+3.4	+1.0u
Oct 29	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Morgan Geekie	0.5	-105	MGM	—	+4.4	+1.0u
Oct 29	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Matthew Schaefer	0.5	-110	MGM	—	+2.9	+0.9u
Oct 24	WIN	Shakedown	Game lines	Game total Over	BUF @ WSH	6.5	-115	BR	—	+2.0	+0.9u
Oct 24	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Kasperi Kapanen	0.5	-140	MGM	—	+2.3	+0.7u
Oct 28	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Mikael Backlund	0.5	-165	MGM	—	+1.7	+0.6u
Oct 25	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Zeev Buium	0.5	-210	MGM	—	+1.6	+0.5u
Oct 26	WIN	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Kevin Bahl	0.5	-245	DK	—	+0.1	+0.4u
Oct 23	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Patrick Kane	0.5	+128	BOL	—	+3.0	−1.0u
Oct 23	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	John Carlson	0.5	+132	BOL	—	+2.3	−1.0u
Oct 24	LOSS	Shakedown	Game lines	Game total Under	ANA @ PHI	6	-105	MGM	—	+1.8	−1.0u
Oct 24	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Claude Giroux	0.5	-105	MGM	—	+2.4	−1.0u
Oct 24	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Kent Johnson	0.5	-110	MGM	—	+2.9	−1.0u
Oct 27	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Sebastian Aho	0.5	+160	MGM	—	+3.6	−1.0u
Oct 27	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Filip Forsberg	0.5	+155	MGM	—	+5.5	−1.0u
Oct 27	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Vincent Trocheck	0.5	+110	MGM	—	+2.0	−1.0u
Oct 27	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Jack Eichel	1.5	+180	MGM	—	+5.2	−1.0u
Oct 27	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Brock Boeser	0.5	+110	DK	—	-0.7	−1.0u
Oct 28	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Over	Nathan MacKinnon	1.5	+140	DK	—	+2.0	−1.0u
Oct 28	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Jordan Eberle	0.5	+120	MGM	—	+2.4	−1.0u
Oct 29	LOSS	Shakedown	Game lines	Moneyline	WPG @ TBL	—	+200	BR	—	+4.0	−1.0u
Oct 29	LOSS	Shakedown	Game lines	Game total Under	UTA @ PIT	6.5	+120	BR	—	+0.4	−1.0u
Oct 29	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Lucas Raymond	0.5	+180	MGM	—	+4.5	−1.0u
Oct 29	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Miro Heiskanen	0.5	+135	MGM	—	+5.1	−1.0u
Oct 29	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Tage Thompson	0.5	+165	MGM	—	+3.0	−1.0u
Oct 29	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Drake Batherson	0.5	+120	MGM	—	+2.7	−1.0u
Oct 30	LOSS	Shakedown	Props	Player points Under	Sam Reinhart	0.5	+180	MGM	—	+2.7	−1.0u

No graded picks in this range yet.

Last slate · Fri, Oct 30

Fri, Oct 30 Final · graded · paper

Cards cashed1

SHADOW LANE. Every NHL play is tracked on paper — no stakes until a lane clears the CLV gate. Slates before Nov 3 are a shakedown, tracked separately.

The Lab’s plays

1–1 · +0.15u · paper

Nico HischierLEANUnder 0.5 Points · +115 @ MGM · fair 47.9% · locked 3:45 pm ET, 2h 14m before puck drop · CLV — · NJD 5 – VGK 2Cashed+1.15u
Sam ReinhartLEANUnder 0.5 Points · +180 @ MGM · fair 36.7% · locked 3:45 pm ET, 3h 14m before puck drop · CLV — · WPG 2 – FLA 5Lost−1.00u

The players

Points props on the shadow board · 2

Nico Hischier

NJD · at VGK

0PTS

Price+115 MGMLocked3:45 pm ETCLV—

CASHEDUnder 0.5 points+1.1u

Sam Reinhart

FLA · vs WPG

2PTS

Price+180 MGMLocked3:45 pm ETCLV—

Our play didn’t cashUnder 0.5 points

Games without a play

SEA @ CGYNo play locked — 6 priced rows at the lock (6:00 pm ET).No play